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AI Reports · GovAI (Oxford) · 2026-10-17 · Research paper

Economics GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs June 2024 Science Article Tyna Eloundou, Sam Manning, Pamela Mishkin, and Daniel Rock We propose a framework for evaluating the potential

The paper proposes a framework for assessing how LLMs and related technologies may affect work, based on their relevance to the tasks workers perform. Applying it with both humans and an LLM, the authors estimate that about 1.8% of jobs could have over half their tasks affected by LLMs with simple interfaces and general training. Accounting for complementary software developments, that share rises to just over 46%.

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